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HomeFrench NewsThe parable of the European protection business (5/5)

The parable of the European protection business (5/5)


In opposition to the backdrop of geostrategic tensions and the conflict in Ukraine, President Macron introduced at Eurosatory that we’re “getting into a conflict economic system.” However the place does the French and European protection business stand? Right here is an outline in 5 episodes.

The European protection business faces the longer term (5/5)

By Procopius of Caesarea*

The way forward for the navy protection business is dictated by the US-China competitors (together with in all non-military fields). This competitors, on the technological stage, is led, in the interim, by the USA and China is making a continuing and decided effort to ‘observe’ with the reassurance of its final industrial superiority. We live by way of an industrial revolution (referred to as the 5ᵉ era) from which Europe is just not solely absent, however excluded. This revolution relies on a dozen technological sectors, referred to as ‘mom applied sciences’. It could take a ebook to element and display this assertion, however it’s a truth.

Who will dominate the house, will dominate the Earth

We merely level out the house truth, as a result of it’s important when it comes to world energy: whoever dominates house will dominate the earth. The navy curiosity has at all times been recognized within the so-called ‘excessive level’, however it’s only from house that we are able to management our on-line world.
Instance: inside 3 years now, we must always see the StarShip of SpaceX operational. This machine, usable as an airplane, will enable to construct economically orbital factories of a number of tens of hundreds of tons. These factories will profit from 2 qualities that can not be discovered on our earth: weightlessness and vacuum. These two qualities enable entry to industrial manufacturing of latest supplies (referred to as meta-materials) with distinctive performances and consequently to fabricate objects with performances inaccessible to terrestrial manufacturing. Industrially talking, there shall be those that have entry to those supplies and those that is not going to have entry to them… and who will solely be capable of manufacture objects of a medieval kind. To be very clear: an airplane engine made with these supplies could have performances inaccessible to those that is not going to have entry to them. And to reassure Macron, there shall be no query of speaking about ‘public good’.
If in 2025, the StarShip, which represents a colossal work for humanity, is operational, inside 10 years (2035) the commercial stage of France shall be usually lowered to that of an African nation. That’s all there may be to it. The technological hole can’t be closed.

Anti-French feeling

On this matter that’s house, I can guarantee (as a result of I take part very modestly) that Northern Europe (Germany included) has nicely understood the stake and has additionally nicely understood {that a} house Europe underneath French affect would result in an ineluctable spoil. The two European corporations which shall be concerned within the launch of small payloads, have taken SpaceX as a mannequin, and have a motto: no European cooperation (and this requires braveness, as a result of it means: no European credit) as a result of, with the French within the loop (ArianeSpace or Airbus), it’s not even value hoping for.

Macron can no extra think about the ‘anti-French’ feeling that arises in Northern Europe (in this type of business), than he may think about yesterday the sensation of rejection in direction of him of a majority of French individuals (truth verified, as standard, to the good displeasure of the BFM forecasters who assured us of an absolute majority – Mr. Ségala within the lead on Friday, June 17).
The long run belongs to expertise. We can’t make actual innovation with the “thirty-five happiness” pricey to France. Elon Musk says it and he’s certified to say it: he isn’t an enarque, however an engineer, and he has already produced extra actual improvements than the entire of France has been in a position to do for greater than thirty years.
Making a rocket, like every other innovation, is (in response to Elon) ‘1% inspiration, and 99% perspiration’. Anybody can have the one p.c of inspiration, however the remainder is out of attain of the Europe of Brussels and even much less of France. Finish of the controversy.

Conclusion: there could be no sovereign European protection business

Observe: I solely want a couple of minutes to destroy contradictory ‘opinions’ that I don’t care about, as a result of my college of thought admits just one decide: Historical past, and it has not been unfavorable to us for 30 years now… We may write a ebook on the historical past of Atos (with Bull as its ancestor), this flagship whose outcomes have at all times been nothing however… nothing in any respect… and we are able to nonetheless discover Macronists singing about its future efficiency in quantum computing, supercomputers, and so on., all of that are proclaimed with out the slightest proof. What is bound is that the President of this firm assured me (in 2005) of the development of an ‘exaflop’ supercomputer, thus world champion (France was going to be the world chief) and by far (when he was speaking) and it ended with a ’23 petaflop supercomputer just lately put into service, that’s to say, lower than 3% of the anticipated efficiency… the exaflop does exist: it’s in service within the USA.
Within the important subject of supercomputing, France is now not even listed within the high 100, which strikes day-after-day (4 new installations monthly in China…). Actuality.
However Macron has the ‘subsequent transfer’ with quantum: the present evaluation of ‘quantum’ corporations (it’s ‘heavy’ to listen to them) exhibits one factor for certain: we don’t see something tangible (by the best way, I made one of many main corporations – situated in Saclay – spill the beans about quantum dots… impeccable on the theoretical stage, however whose sensible realization is determined by an isotopic purity of carbon that isn’t accessible on earth and hop, we are able to sleep simple… I suggested the founder to go and see Elon Musk and he answered: in fact! However…)

Different observe: June 18, 2022, Intel investments in Europe :

Germany Magdeburg “superior semiconductor manufacturing mega-site” for €17 billion – by 2027. Intel will obtain €6.8 billion in funding from the European Chip Act (funding quantity confirmed within the federal funds assertion).
Intel: Eire: €17 billion funding in Eire prolonged to €30 billion.
Intel: smaller investments for France, Italy, Poland and Spain.
In France, an R&D middle on the Saclay plateau
Europe: settlement with Intel for Intel 4 processing expertise.
At present, EU semiconductor manufacturing represents about 9% of the world whole. The EU Chips Act relies on the US Chips Act subsidy scheme ($52 billion). It serves the identical function, particularly to localize essential high-tech inputs and safe important provide chains.
Conclusion: we’re witnessing an actual American colonization of Europe on this subject. And it’s not badly financed by Brussels. And we’re solely speaking about Intel (in the interim, the opposite three main gamers have declined the European provides).
Evaluation: Intel is avoiding France when it comes to industrial location, regardless of provides that Macron thought couldn’t be refused… The comfort prize is an R&D middle in Saclay the place Intel will be capable of quietly plunder the pool of engineers on the plateau (it would solely get one of the best in fact). Intel doesn’t dream of a future with a location on this fantastic place described by Macron as ‘California with out the ocean’.

NATO Pipelines

The NATO Pipeline System (NPS) was established throughout the Chilly Battle to produce Alliance forces with gasoline, and it continues to fulfill gasoline necessities with the flexibleness required in right now’s safety setting.

The NPS consists of ten separate petroleum storage and distribution networks.

  • It’s roughly 10,000 km lengthy, traversing twelve NATO nations and providing 4.1 million cubic meters of storage capability.
  • The NPS connects storage depots, navy airbases, civilian airports, pumping stations, rail and highway loading stations, refineries and entry/draw-off factors.
  • Bulk distribution makes use of amenities built-in with the collectively funded NATO Safety Funding Program (NSIP).
  • The networks are underneath the management of nationwide businesses, except for the Central European Pipeline System (CEPS), which is a multinational system managed by the CEPS Program Workplace, which is a part of the NATO Assist and Acquisition Company (NSA).

*Procopius of Caesarea (6ᵉ century A.D. is a Byzantine rhetorician and historian whose work is dedicated to the reign of the emperor Justinian). That is in fact a pseudonym. The certainly one of an individual very nicely knowledgeable in regards to the technological, political and geostrategic problems with our time.

 

 

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